Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 1069.064531 1224.474993 1401.767883 1620.539650 1885.366667 2198.315129 2600.213591
2025-01-19 818.322528 1006.467091 1242.377531 1565.484449 2005.515611 2597.707858 3479.979942
2025-01-26 733.435168 944.890948 1227.200953 1642.723714 2258.728169 3173.345549 4708.124237
2025-02-02 663.787730 886.795315 1199.741148 1688.270712 2466.286671 3725.442738 6083.130846
2025-02-09 611.835109 842.725141 1180.759632 1736.201621 2679.393521 4332.844766 7776.293237
2025-02-16 557.683819 787.000925 1134.350222 1729.560610 2796.180938 4799.820300 9393.165134
2025-02-23 526.190432 760.595380 1127.916476 1784.785073 3029.651768 5547.717107 11974.144104
2025-03-02 494.234399 729.250031 1108.498032 1812.617657 3215.845111 6255.285872 14859.936860
2025-03-09 458.710107 688.172616 1067.408865 1793.651802 3303.504515 6772.950158 17555.225558
2025-03-16 423.443988 644.025539 1015.875821 1746.726656 3321.974554 7133.110041 20020.510245
2025-03-23 402.903478 622.520835 1001.332176 1768.887847 3495.852759 7944.803276 24688.123042
2025-03-30 375.377406 586.630174 957.130548 1724.822404 3508.295562 8328.097178 28073.956718
2025-04-06 348.562577 551.598670 914.312322 1684.899777 3541.286937 8844.001429 32904.092877
2025-04-13 322.741952 516.548673 868.608578 1633.888660 3540.723720 9281.777358 38101.774643
2025-04-20 315.015819 513.060085 882.270119 1714.237733 3902.128105 11084.850382 54079.787894
2025-04-27 304.300085 503.029193 881.847441 1762.604924 4192.417481 12828.918273 74319.236625
2025-05-04 294.636690 494.036103 882.364294 1813.240250 4506.656137 14894.653013 104513.029325
2025-05-11 280.475144 475.270994 860.731770 1806.225041 4643.571568 16314.296565 134777.269978
2025-05-18 273.119719 469.051257 864.747488 1864.637633 5012.703181 19142.583718 201263.597613
2025-05-25 263.894154 458.377613 858.026339 1894.089220 5296.191313 21823.786084 292082.839339
2025-06-01 251.628578 440.712849 834.251548 1874.019448 5398.083313 23599.420398 387370.372492
2025-06-08 238.191706 419.793695 801.418850 1824.378143 5376.980402 24631.521482 480591.769994
2025-06-15 230.834880 410.817625 794.796129 1847.819407 5650.215427 27954.815247 744291.205549